Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.065187 0.073551 0.082111 0.091497 0.101471 0.111724 0.123034
2025-07-20 0.049459 0.061553 0.074584 0.089525 0.106051 0.123650 0.143689
2025-07-27 0.042456 0.057134 0.073585 0.093068 0.115217 0.139353 0.167391
2025-08-03 0.035831 0.051995 0.070793 0.093703 0.120366 0.149976 0.184927
2025-08-10 0.030808 0.048021 0.068730 0.094617 0.125346 0.160010 0.201455
2025-08-17 0.026127 0.043872 0.065968 0.094270 0.128499 0.167663 0.215031
2025-08-24 0.020870 0.038337 0.060977 0.090777 0.127547 0.170255 0.222524
2025-08-31 0.016865 0.033993 0.057098 0.088305 0.127526 0.173694 0.230791
2025-09-07 0.014438 0.031588 0.055525 0.088547 0.130657 0.180746 0.243186
2025-09-14 0.012764 0.030099 0.055038 0.090065 0.135279 0.189519 0.257570
2025-09-21 0.012048 0.030022 0.056445 0.094026 0.142939 0.201956 0.276318
2025-09-28 0.010595 0.028557 0.055772 0.095136 0.146935 0.209905 0.289692
2025-10-05 0.010773 0.030032 0.059582 0.102621 0.159506 0.228868 0.316948
2025-10-12 0.008369 0.026674 0.056157 0.100216 0.159398 0.232343 0.325709
2025-10-19 0.007680 0.026357 0.057222 0.103951 0.167224 0.245625 0.346358
2025-10-26 0.006435 0.024737 0.056156 0.104621 0.170989 0.253829 0.360827
2025-11-02 0.005412 0.023368 0.055364 0.105593 0.175092 0.262421 0.375753
2025-11-09 0.004309 0.021560 0.053713 0.105224 0.177335 0.268623 0.387714
2025-11-16 0.002925 0.018613 0.049903 0.101502 0.174917 0.268802 0.392148
2025-11-23 0.001962 0.016308 0.046947 0.098866 0.173836 0.270582 0.398483
2025-11-30 0.001468 0.015173 0.045957 0.099124 0.176670 0.277351 0.411007
2025-12-07 0.001168 0.014561 0.045876 0.100743 0.181373 0.286527 0.426544
2025-12-14 0.001097 0.014827 0.047459 0.104964 0.189721 0.300451 0.448068